Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 356.075958 404.639379 458.874865 524.205785 601.124399 689.241750 798.448568
2025-08-03 276.708211 337.741504 412.138592 510.533801 638.798481 802.499629 1030.780181
2025-08-10 234.543427 299.426519 383.049997 500.619374 664.743466 890.500442 1233.139984
2025-08-17 213.394081 282.869167 376.733338 515.845436 722.118179 1025.669259 1524.004793
2025-08-24 192.066596 262.384640 361.074055 513.807443 751.988062 1123.270369 1776.111351
2025-08-31 173.276805 242.790269 343.547231 505.384901 769.103244 1201.742737 2011.343461
2025-09-07 160.434420 230.152522 334.299500 507.573492 802.095783 1309.965913 2321.167341
2025-09-14 146.647704 214.551275 318.587987 496.926284 811.251563 1377.363394 2568.489414
2025-09-21 136.760401 203.913605 309.355090 495.462367 835.470971 1475.168193 2899.283006
2025-09-28 124.330451 188.125904 290.228098 474.630822 821.271503 1496.759191 3071.640687
2025-10-05 120.715570 186.169588 293.565374 493.472678 883.758024 1681.084015 3661.427023
2025-10-12 117.880736 185.182848 298.317881 515.251672 955.037401 1897.405228 4395.885303
2025-10-19 111.904779 178.576081 292.994986 518.080671 989.639901 2043.685085 5008.015262
2025-10-26 104.037920 168.130391 279.976789 504.632288 988.166399 2107.602797 5416.956103
2025-11-02 97.490363 159.485911 269.443766 494.852647 993.103170 2187.740448 5902.825173
2025-11-09 94.838973 157.545481 271.062568 509.866617 1056.059147 2426.593126 6984.100854
2025-11-16 90.258826 151.755817 264.895819 507.857096 1079.013685 2566.257396 7794.962224
2025-11-23 85.325162 144.967179 256.245677 499.552150 1085.528896 2662.599193 8494.368474
2025-11-30 81.980015 140.905496 252.576327 501.710223 1118.323189 2841.556336 9598.722174
2025-12-07 77.531957 134.464336 243.678387 491.211218 1117.217308 2920.138554 10334.872930
2025-12-14 74.353514 130.254275 238.960706 489.767627 1139.768875 3077.498776 11501.989109
2025-12-21 69.517433 122.548311 226.556698 469.223954 1107.941445 3054.414455 11827.043977
2025-12-28 68.736175 122.733098 230.501853 487.805544 1187.164135 3419.198436 14283.116806